Forecasters: ? (NWS) and Morris Weisman (NCAR)
A cold front has passed southward through the STEPS domain this morning, bringing cooler, drier, and more stable conditions to the region for today. No significant convection is expected.
Flow will turn southerly overnight and become quite strong on Monday, bringing low-level moisture back northward into eastern Colorado, increasing chances for significant convective activity along the front range, possibly propagating into the western portions of the STEPS domain by late tomorrow. Northwesterly flow aloft along with southerly flow at the surface will also produce moderate shears over the region, suggesting the possibility of supercellular activity if convection does develop. This flow configuration is also conducive to a Denver Cyclone developing, which could serve as a trigger for convection along the front range.
Moderate instabilities will remain over the region on Tuesday, with the potential for a dry line setting up in eastern Colorado. Shear values, however, will be weakening.
| VARIABLE | Day 1: 1-4 pm | Day 1: 4-9 pm | Day 2 | Day 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Convective Potential |
0.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Storm Type | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Triggering | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
| Intuition | -0.5 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 0.5 | 5 | 4 |
| SYSTEM | STATUS |
|---|---|
| Ops Center | Operational. When needed both repeaters #1 and #2 will be devoted to mobile units, and the radars will use the regular telephones. |
| CHILL | Operational. |
| S-Pol | Operational. |
| LMA | Operational. |
| MGLASS | Operational. |
| T-28 | Operational. |
| Storm ballooning | Operational. |
| Mobile mesonet | Operational. |
| Storm chase van | Operational. |
| YRFS | Operational. |
| NWS | Operational. |
Operations were declared down for the day.
No operations were conducted since the day had been declared down.