STEPS Operations Plan: Section 3.1.1 Debriefings/briefings
STEPS FORECAST MATRIX
    Date: yymmdd
    Forecaster: Name
VARIABLE Day 1: 1-4 pm Day 1: 4-9 pm Day 2 Day 3
Convective
Potential
---- ----
Storm Type ---- ----
Triggering ---- ----
Intuition ---- ----
Total ---- ----
Overall convective potential: (0) non-severe to (3) severe
Forecast lifted index (CAPE):
(0) > 0 (< 400 joules/kg)
(1) -2 to 0 (400-1000 joules/kg)
(2) -5 to -2 (1000-2000 joules/kg)
(3) < -5 to -2 (>2000 joules/kg)
Anticipated storm type: (0) Non-supercell to (3) Supercell
Forecast 6km AGL share: (Approximate length of hodograph):
(0) 0 to 10 m/s
(1) 10 to 18 m/s
(2) 18 to 28 m/s
(3) > 28 m/s
Triggering potential: (0) weak to (3) strong
(0) No triggering mechanism: cap is too strong, no boundaries such as dry-line,
no fronts, ...
(1) Weak triggering: Sufficient convective heating; weak boundaries, anticipated
triggering over high terrain to wesst, weak large scale forcing
(2) Moderate triggering: Sufficient convective heating; weak-moderate dry line, front,
or other boundary; moderate large scale forcing, model forecast of precipitation.
(3) Strong triggering: Sufficient convective heating; well-formed dry line, front,
or other boundary; strong large scale forcing, deep moisture,
model forecast of significant precipitation.
Forecaster's intuition: (-1) less to (1) more confidence
Questions to consider:
       Do you expect LP storms?
       What is the SPC outlook?
       Do you expect isolated cells versus squall-line?