--- NESL, the NCAR Earth System Laboratory ---

Coupled Weather-Wildland Fire Modeling

Case Studies

The following animations show coupled weather-fire behavior model simulations of the growth of wildfires. They were simulated using the Coupled Atmosphere-Wildland Fire Environment (CAWFE) model.


High Park Fire (Ignition: 6/9/12 near Fort Collins, Colorado)

Collaborator: Mel Shapiro (NCAR)

The High Park fire is reported to have been ignited by lightning strike.  It grew rapidly during a Colorado Front Range downslope windstorm, destroying 259 homes and burning 87284 acres.

Image of simulation of the High Park wildfire.

View: towards the north.  Fort Collins lies to the right, and Poudre Canyon is the northernmost boundary of this domain.  Each frame is a minute apart, the total animation covers the local time from 5:45 am 6/9/12 to 3:00 am 6/10/12. The misty field represents smoke, colored by concentration - higher concentrations are more opaque (linearly with concentration) and darker. The colors identifying the burning parts of the fire are the sensible heat fluxes released by the fire (see color bar to right, in W/m^-2).  Darker browns are lower fluxes.  The surface appears dark brown where fire has passed. Red arrows represent the near-surface horizontal wind speed (the length of the arrow) and direction (the arrows point downwind).

Animation - click here for .avi (PC)
Animation - click here for .mov (Mac)

Esperanza Fire (Ignition: 10/26/07 near the Banning Pass in Cabazon, California)
Collaborators: Phil Riggan, Francis Fujioka, and David Weise (USDA Forest Service Riverside Fire Laboratory), and Charles Jones (Univ. of California at Santa Barbara)

The Esperanza fire was ignited by an arsonist on the upwind edge of the San Jacinto mountains during dry, windy Santa Ana conditions. The following simulations show the weather conditions and fire growth. This work is the first to simulate simultaneously the evolving meteorological flow, fire behavior, and fire-induced flow for a landscape-scale naturally evolving fire.  It captures the rapid spread of the fire to the west-southwest driven by both Santa Ana winds and topographic effects, recreating the splitting of the fire, feathering at the leading edge, and other distinctive features.  For infrared imagery of this fire from research aircraft, see  http://fireimaging.com/ . The simulation was visualized using VAPOR  producing the animations below.
Fire (sensible heat flux released by fire:dark red (low intensity) to bright yellow (high intensity), smoke (misty white field)

Fire heat flux and smoke simulated with CAWFE.

Imageof Esperanza fire simulation

View: towards the south.   Cabazon, CA, is in the foreground.   Each frame is a minute apart, the total animation covers the local time from 1:30 am 10/26/06 till 8 PM.
The misty field represents smoke, colored by concentration - higher concentrations are more opaque (linearly with concentration) and darker. 
The colors identifying the burning parts of the fire are inspired by the radiant temperature color bar at fireimaging.com - brighter colors like yellow reflect higher surface fire sensible heat fluxes (see color bar to right).  Darker browns are lower fluxes.  The surface appears dark brown where fire has passed. The boxiness to the fireline shows the atmospheric grid sizes, onto which the fire fluxes on the fire fuel cell scale (5x5 within each atmos cell) have been summed. 

 Animation - click here for .avi (PC)
Animation - click here for .mov (Mac)


Big Elk Fire (Ignition: 7/17/02 near Pinewood Springs, Colorado)

This simulation shows several hours in the early period of the Big Elk Fire, a 4400 acre wildfire ignited by a tailpipe.  Fire behavior was extreme reflecting the extremely dry conditions throughout Colorado (including the lowest fuel moistures ever recorded in the area). Initial spread was rapid, moving up a south slope of ponderosa pine mixed with Douglas fir with crowning and torching into high density thin-stemmed lodgepole pine at upper elevations.  The red field shows where the air was warmed at least 10 degrees by the heat released from the fire.  The misty white field represent smoke, with denser areas representing higher concentrations.  The arrows show the wind speed (shown by the length of the arrows - longer arrows being stronger winds) and direction near the surface.   This case represents a relatively simple scenario, with no large-scale weather features - winds were driven primarily by solar heating of mountain slopes, producing weak afternoon upslope conditions during the active fire periods. 

The Big Elk fire simulated with NCAR's CAWFE (Coupled Atmosphere-Wildland Fire - Environment) model.

Animation - click here for .avi .

The simulation was visualized with Vis5D.



Keywords:  wildfire models, fire behavior, forest fires, fire model, wildland fire model, simulation of High Park Fire, simulation of Esperanza Fire, model simulation of High Park wildfire, model simulation of Esperanza Wildfire