The next BMB data assimilation system

 

Chaolin Zhang, Yingchun Wang, Shuiyong Fan, Jiqin Zhong (BMB/IUM)

Xiang-Yu Huang, Ying-Hwa Kuo, Yongrun Guo (NCAR/MMM)

 

1. Introduction. 1

2. Domains. 2

3. Levels. 3

4. Forecast model 4

4.1 Dynamics. 4

4.2 Physics. 4

4.3 Lateral boundaries. 4

5. Data assimilation. 5

5.1 Observations. 5

5.2 Cycles. 5

6. Remarks. 5

 

1. Introduction

 

The NCAR/MMM has developed a three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) system based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The WRF 3DVAR system has been implemented successfully for both operational use and for research. It has been applied to a wide range of data assimilation research problems, including the assimilation of Doppler radar data, the ground-based GPS water vapor data, and satellite measurements.

 

The WRF 3DVAR system will be the next operational system at BMB. A collaboration project between BMB and UCAR started on 18 March 2005 is targeted on making such an operational implementation of WRF 3DVAR at BMB in 3 years.


2. Domains

 

The current operational data assimilation system at BMB runs on 3 domains using two-way nesting. These domains will be used for the next operational system for continuation. In addition, a 1 km domain will be added.

 

The resolution of the 4 selected domains will be 27 km, 9 km, 3 km and 1 km. The domains will have 151×151, 142×184, 172×199, 211×211 (NS×WE) horizontal grid points, respectively. The domain centers will be all at 116ºE, 40ºN. These domains are shown in Figure 1.

 

Two-way nesting strategy will be used.

 

 

 

Figure 1. Model domains. D01: 27 km, 151×151 grid points. D02: 9 km, 142×184 grid points. D03: 3 km, 172×199 grid points. D04: 1 km , 211×211 grid points.

 


3. Levels

 

In the vertical direction, 38 levels will be used for all selected domains. The full s levels will have the following s values:

1.00,0.995,0.99,0.985,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.930,0.92,0.910,0.9, 0.88,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44, 0.4,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.

 

The model variables are placed on full s levels or half s levels, as shown in Figure 2.

 

 

 

 

Figure 2. Vertical levels. Dotted lines denote the full-s levels (total:38), dash lines denote the half-s levels (total:37), top level is at 50 hPa.


4. Forecast model

 

Although the forecast model is not part of the project, it provides the background fields for analysis. The WRF model will be used to issue forecasts and to provide WRF 3DVAR with background fields.

 

 

 

4.1 Dynamics

The model uses an Eulerian solver based on a flux formulation to solve the fully compressible non-hydrostatic equations. A third order Runge-Kutta time integration, third to fifth order advection operators, and split-explicit acoustic/gravity wave are used.

 

4.2 Physics

A basic physics packages will be used for all domains, including the YSU (YonSei University Scheme) PBL scheme 5-layer soil model(not LSM), RRTM (Rapid Radiative Transfer Model) longwave radiation, Dudhia shortwave radiation, and the WSM-6 (WRF Single-Moment 6-class) microphysics scheme, second-order horizontal diffusion, and vertical velocity damping. KF (Kain-Fritsch) Cumulus parameterizationwill be used for the 27 and 9 km domains.

 

 

 

4.3 Lateral boundaries

 

For all domains, the analysis and forecasts from the CMA/NMC global data assimilation system will be used as lateral boundaries.

 

 

 

5. Data assimilation

5.1 Observations

In addition to the conventional data from GTS, local observations made and managed by BMB will be assimilated. Enhancements in WRF 3DVAR system to incorporate AWS data and GPS ZTD/PW will be made, and experiments to assess the impact from the local observations will be carried out in the BMB-UCAR project. Other local observations may also be considered in a later stage of the project.

5.2 Cycles

The resolution of AWS and GPS-met networks of Beijing will be around 5~10 km, even up to 1~3 km at special places. Therefore the WRF 3DVAR will be cycled for the 27, 9 and 3 km domains. For the 1 km domain, forecasts will be carried out using initial model states interpolated from the 3 km domain.

 

For the 27 and 9 km domains, 6 hour cycles will be used. For the 3 km domain, 3 hour cycles will be used. Experiments will be carried out using the 3 km domain and 1 hour cycles.

 

In order to decide whether a regular restart of cycles is needed, data assimilation experiments will be carried out.

 

6. Remarks

Although the next BMB data assimilation system will be based on WRF, MM5 may play an important role at the beginning of the project as it has been the operational forecast model at BMB for several years.

 

Two months (one summer month and one winter month) MM5 forecast data have been archived and will be used to compute background error statistics for the 27, 9 and 3 km domains.

 

A similar data set, generated by WRF, will also be made available during the BMB-UCAR project.