The Twelfth BMB-NCAR Project Meeting

Time: 02:00~03:30 pm, Dec 29, 2005

Participants: Dir. Kuo, Dr. Huang, Dr. Guo, Shui-Yong Fan, Jiqin Zhong

1.   Discuss the project progress

Parallel runs

Experiments list had been modified. The new one is as following:

exp0

no 3dvar analysis

exp1

Cressman analysis

exp2

BMB OPR rerun in NCAR

exp3

ncar3dvar+KMA winter BE, RF_passes=6, var_scaling=1.0, len_scaling=0.5, check_rh=0, sfc_assi=2

exp4

ncar3dvar+KMA summer BE, RF_passes=4, var_scaling=1.0, len_scaling=1.0, check_rh=2, sfc_assi=2

exp5

wrf3dvar+KMA summer BE, RF_passes=4, var_scaling=1.0, len_scaling=1.0, check_rh=2, sfc_assi=2

exp6

ncar3dvar+BMB summer BE, RF_passes=4, var_scaling=0.9, len_scaling1-2=0.25,len_scaling3-5=1.0, chech_rh=2, sfc_assi=2

exp7

ncar3dvar+BMB summer BE, RF_passes=4, var_scaling=1, len_scaling=1,len_scaling=1, chech_rh=1, sfc_assi=1

exp8

wrf3dvar+new BMB BE, RF_passes=4, var_scaling=1, len_scaling=1,len_scaling=1, chech_rh=2, sfc_assi=1

exp9

sfc_assi=2, others is the same as exp8

exp10

Avn analysis field used as first guess, others is the same as exp8

exp11

Avn 12h forecast field used as first guess, others is the same as exp8

exp12

Avn 12h forecast field used as initial condition, no 3dvar analysis

exp13

WRF-Model, Avn 12h forecast field used as initial condition, no 3dvar analysis (ongoing).

exp14

WRF-Var, WRF-Model, WRF-BES, Avn 12h forecast field used as background(ongoing).

 

Shui-Yong showed the verification scores of EXP11 and the compared them to those of EXP02. It was found that using AVN 12h forecasts as background to WRF-Var can lead to significant improved forecasts compared to the operational configuration using T213 analyses/forecasts. Although there were slight degradation in scores compared with EXP10, EXP11 configuration could be more feasible for an operational implementation. Based on these results, Dr. Huang suggested that BMB try to ftp AVN 12h forecasts as soon as possible to assess whether it is feasible to use them in future operations.

 

EXP12 had also been completed, but its verification was not available because BIG, the computer we run our verifications, was down. Shui-Yong moved the verification computation to BAY and should be able to present the scores of EXP12 at the next project meeting.

 

Jiqin introduced the verification of BMB operational system in the rainy season. Some interesting rainfall cases were presented in the meantime. Dir. Kuo suggested that the case of 20050625 should be run with WRF-Var + AVNFCST + NEW BES, and be compared with BMB OPR.

2 Make a task list

Dir Kuo will help Jiqin get a user account on BIG. Continue the verification calculations of EXP12.

 

Dr. Huang and Shuiyong should finalize the project review presentation by the next meeting.

 

Continue the verification calculations of EXP12.

 

Shuiyong and Jiqin run the 20050625-case.

 

Finish EXP13 ( WRF-Model, AVN12 FC as IC ).

 

Generate a new WRF BES from EXP13.

 

Make the verification system of WRF available.

 

Later, run EXP14 (WRF-Var, WRF-Model, WRF-BES, AVN12FC as BG).

 

Jiqin should make the best out of the overlapping period when both she and Shuiyong are at NCAR. Before starting her main tasks, AWS and GPS data assimilation, Jiqin should get familiar with the working environment including different computers, gradually take over ShuiyongÕs work and be able to complete one or two experiments with/without ShuiyongÕs help.

3 Next meeting

The next meeting will be at 2:00 pm, Dec 5.