One of the two primary scientific programs in
MMM is the Prediction of Precipitating Weather Systems (PPWS) program.
Its goal is to advance the understanding and prediction of significant
precipitation events in order to substantially reduce forecast errors
toward the limits of predictability. The accurate prediction of
precipitating weather systems is an important topic in the U. S.
Weather Research Program (USWRP). There is good potential for advancements
in this area because of emerging operational observing systems,
high-resolution non-hydrostatic forecast and data assimilation systems,
and the continued rapid growth in computer power. Within MMM, there
is broad interest and expertise in the observation, analysis, and
prediction of precipitation systems, along with opportunities to
leverage division resources through collaboration with other NCAR
divisions, government laboratories and the university community.
The research within MMM focuses on specific areas where MMM's expertise
is best suited to advance the science. These areas include mesoscale
dynamics and predictability, the life cycle of mesoscale precipitating
weather systems, mesoscale data assimilation and high-resolution
numerical weather prediction (NWP). These topics are highly interrelated,
and research contributing to the advancement of mesoscale assimilation
and forecast systems is focused toward development of a new multi-agency
Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model.