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What Modelling has Shown Us

 

Atmosphere-fire motions are inseparable, with varying degrees of coupling.

This fire-atmosphere interaction shows itself on a range of scales:

  • small-scale: intense winds within the fire
  • boundary layer: fire-indeced downdrafts
  • depth of entire troposphere: hail-forming pyrocumulous

Atmosphic wind and temperature structure can have a big impact on fire bahavior::

  • Variability in near-surface atmospheric stability and winds affected whether/how fire spilled over a ridge

Conversely, fire-induced winds are also a crucial factor in fire development:

  • Some conditions can lead to blowups with rapid intensification of spread rate and heat output
  • Fire winds dominate their surroundings

Symmetric fires can become asymmetric, i.e. left or right flank of fire may take off.

Similar to real fires, when crossing a ridge, modeled fires stall, spillover, back down, or veer in either direction, sometimes with "escapes".

 



 
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