OpenSky Publications
MMM OpenSky Publications
Select a year and/or affiliation to see the peer-reviewed publications involving authors from MMM. The publications span data assimilation, machine learning, visualization, data analysis, model development, research computing operations, and data management services. You can view the full publications and search for specific publications in OpenSky, the open access repository of scholarly works developed and managed by the NSF NCAR Library.
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Gao, L., Ren, L., Liu, Z., Sun, W., Jin, J., et al. (2025). Improving PM2.5 forecasts with three-dimensional variation data assimilation of visibility observations in China. Atmospheric Environment, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121296 More than 2400 synoptic stations in China have been conducting automatic visibility observations since 2013. Investigate the potential contribution of visibility data assimilation to the prediction of visibility and PM2.5 is worthwhile. Vis... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Miao, J., Yang, M., Rasmussen, K. L., Bell, M. M., Kuo, H., et al. (2025). Microphysical and kinematical characteristics of merged and isolated convective cells over the complex terrain of the Taipei Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042375 This study investigates the microphysical and kinematic characteristics in extreme afternoon thunderstorm rainfall during Taiwan‐Area Heavy rain Observation and Prediction Experiment/Prediction of Rainfall Extremes Campaign In the Pa... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Do, P., Haase, J. S., Baños, I. H., Hordyniec, P., Cao, B.. (2025). Impact of airborne radio occultation observations on short term precipitation forecasts of an Atmospheric River. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115639 Atmospheric River Reconnaissance (AR Recon) collects targeted observations during major winter weather events associated with heavy precipitation and flooding on the US West Coast. Ten WC‐130J weather reconnaissance aircraft equipped ... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Earth, wind, and fire: Are Boulder’s extreme downslope winds changing? Meehl, G. A., Shields, C. A., Myers, B., Larson, M., Durran, D., et al. (2025). Earth, wind, and fire: Are Boulder’s extreme downslope winds changing?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0091.1 A Denver newspaper in 2016 reported that a new Colorado all-time record peak wind gust of 148 mph was recorded on 18 February 2016, on Monarch Pass in the Colorado Rockies near 11 000 ft above sea level. The article stated that this ... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Li, W., D'Amico, F., Bernardet, L., Xue, L., Dudhia, J., et al. (2025). Demonstrating Hierarchical System Development with the Common Community Physics Package Single‐Column Model: A case study over the Southern Great Plains. Meteorological Applications, doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70073 This study demonstrates a specific application of the hierarchical system development (HSD) approach to investigate, analyze, and attribute model issues within the Unified Forecast System (UFS), with a focus on process isolation. By evaluat... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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How are large hailstones produced in five distinct potential severe hailstorm environments? Zhang, S., Zhang, Q., Liu, C., Heymsfield, A. J., Lin, X., et al. (2025). How are large hailstones produced in five distinct potential severe hailstorm environments?. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-24-0146.1 The thermodynamic and kinematic environments favoring the growth of large hailstones (diameter ≥ 19 mm) may be classified into five distinct types. In this study, we present a simple semi-three-dimensional hailstone growth trajectory ... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Ajibade, I., Sauer, J., Walter, M., Done, J. M., Ge, M., et al. (2025). Who bears the burden? An assessment of vulnerability and resilience to consecutive disasters in the Portland metro region. Environmental Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ade459 Climate-related disasters threaten urban areas worldwide, yet gaps remain in understanding how multiple stressors interact to shape resilience. This study examines exposure, vulnerability, and resilience across three consecutive extreme eve... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Lupo, K., Schwartz, C. S.. (2025). Environmental conditions and forecast error evolution associated with synoptic progressiveness errors in GFS forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0137.1 Operational forecasters often note that medium-range forecasts of midtropospheric cutoff lows using the Global Forecast System (GFS) are typically characterized by excessive synoptic progressiveness, i.e., a tendency to advance features too... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Chen, H., Sun, T., Zhao, K., Chen, Y., Zhou, A., et al. (2025). Dual‐polarization radar data assimilation based on hydrometeor classification and its impact on severe weather prediction. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042797 The indirect radar reflectivity assimilation method, which assimilates retrieved hydrometeors from radar reflectivity data, is simple and efficient in severe weather forecasting applications. However, it suffers from retrieval errors due to... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Schreck, J. S., Sha, Y., Chapman, W., Kimpara, D., Berner, J., et al. (2025). Community Research Earth Digital Intelligence Twin: a scalable framework for AI-driven Earth System Modeling. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01125-6 Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) numerical weather prediction (NWP) have transformed atmospheric modeling. AI NWP models outperform state-of-the-art conventional NWP models like the European Center for Medium Range Weathe... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Grosz, R., Chandrakar, K. K., Shaw, R. A., Anderson, J., Cantrell, W., et al. (2025). High-resolution temperature profiling in the Π Chamber: Variability of statistical properties of temperature fluctuations. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-18-2619-2025 This study delves into the small-scale temperature structure inside the turbulent convection Π Chamber under three temperature differences (10, 15, and 20 K) at Rayleigh number Ra∼109 and Prandtl number Pr≈0.7. We performed high-freq... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Thompson, L., Wang, C., He, C., Lin, T., Liu, C., et al. (2025). Assessment of convection-permitting hydroclimate modeling in urban areas across the contiguous United States. Urban Climate, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102375 Accurate representation of urban areas in weather and climate models is crucial for simulating interactions between urban surfaces and the atmospheric boundary layer, especially in high-resolution regional models that resolve deep convectio... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Heymsfield, A. J., Bansemer, A. R., Heymsfield, G., DeLaFrance, A., Toohey, D., et al. (2025). Relationship of snow microphysics and precipitation generation to vertical motions in extratropical cyclones: Results from IMPACTS. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-24-0100.1 This study analyzes in situ aircraft microphysical measurements in deep snow-producing clouds during the Investigation of Microphysics and Precipitation for Atlantic Coast-Threatening Snowstorms (IMPACTS) field programs in winter 2020, 202... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Casaretto, G., Schwartz, C. S., Dillon, M. E., Skabar, Y. G., Ruiz, J. J.. (2025). Exploring quantitative observation impact in partial and continuous cycling ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation systems. Weather and Forecasting, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0127.1 This study applies the ensemble forecast sensitivity to observation impact (EFSOI) technique to two 80-member ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation (DA) systems over the United States, differing only in cycling strategy: continuo... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Noh, Y., Chung, E., Choi, Y., Song, H., Raeder, K. D., et al. (2025). Application of the satellite-based spectral relationship to the vertical localization for the microwave humidity sounder in the Ensemble Kalman Filter. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, doi:https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2025.3575606 Localization is an essential technique to mitigate the sampling error in the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). In order to effectively use the localization function within the EnKF, the specific location information of observations being assim... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Isotopic analysis for tracing vertical growth trajectories of hailstones Lin, X., Zhang, H., Li, X., Zhang, Q., Heymsfield, A. J., et al. (2025). Isotopic analysis for tracing vertical growth trajectories of hailstones. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4211-x The growth trajectory of hailstones within clouds has remained elusive due to the inability to trace them directly, impeding the comprehension of their underlying growth mechanisms. This study investigated hailstone vertical growth trajecto... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Pan, Y., Wray, S. C., Patton, E. G.. (2025). Signals of nonturbulent motions caused by stable stratification in near-surface sonic anemometer data. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-24-0070.1 Understanding the interactions between turbulent and nonturbulent motions has been a persistent challenge faced by the community studying stably stratified turbulent flows. For flows with high Reynolds number, high Rossby number, and stable... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Pan, B., Xiao, X., Pan, L., Meng, C., Blanken, P. D., et al. (2025). Incorporation of needleleaf traits improves estimation of light absorption and gross primary production of evergreen needleleaf forests. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110526 The seasonal dynamics and interannual variation of gross primary production (GPP, g C/m2/day) of evergreen needleleaf forest (ENF) are important but most of models underestimate ENF GPP. In this work, we selected three ENF sites with 10+ ye... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Earth System Predictability Across Timescales Space Weather Workshop Report Richter, J. H., Colegrove, D., Kamali, S., Dikpati, M., Burkepile, J. R., et al. (2025). Earth System Predictability Across Timescales Space Weather Workshop Report. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/zjv9-0c21 Space weather events pose significant societal risks, disrupting critical infrastructure and communication systems. To improve prediction and resilience, the NSF NCAR launched the ESPAT initiative, focusing on understanding Earth system pre... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Technical Report View on OpenSky |
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Grabowski, W., Pawlowska, H.. (2025). Technical note: Phase space depiction of cloud condensation nuclei activation and cloud droplet diffusional growth. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-5273-2025 A novel way to represent cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activation and cloud droplet growth by the diffusion of water vapor is introduced. The key is to apply a phase space diagram that plots the radius of a liquid droplet (deliquesced CCN... MMM Affiliations: MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Camponuri, S. K., Heaney, A. K., Cooksey, G. S., Vugia, D. J., Jain, S., et al. (2025). Recent and forecasted increases in coccidioidomycosis incidence linked to hydroclimatic swings, California, USA. Emerging Infectious Diseases, doi:https://doi.org/10.3201/eid3105.241338 In 2023, California reported near–record high coccidioidomycosis cases after a dramatic transition from drought to heavy precipitation. Using an ensemble model, we forecasted 12,244 cases statewide during April 1, 2024–March 31, 2025, a... MMM Affiliations: MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Tian, Y., Neale, R., Morrison, H.. (2025). Non-monotonic convective response to vertical wind shear: A closer look from cloud resolving model simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004859 Using a three‐dimensional cloud‐resolving model, a systematic exploration is undertaken of the response of a radiative‐convective equilibrium state to imposed vertical wind shear of varying magnitude. Domain‐average... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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(Re)Conceptualizing trustworthy AI: A foundation for change Wirz, C. D., Demuth, J. L., Bostrom, A., Cains, M., Ebert-Uphoff, I., et al. (2025). (Re)Conceptualizing trustworthy AI: A foundation for change. Artificial Intelligence, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artint.2025.104309 Developers and academics have grown increasingly interested in developing “trustworthy” artificial intelligence (AI). However, this aim is difficult to achieve in practice, especially given trust and trustworthiness are complex, multifa... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Sobash, R. A., Ahijevych, D.. (2025). Evaluating Machine Learning–based probabilistic lightning forecasts using the HRRR: A comparison to three forecast baselines. Weather and Forecasting, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0140.1 Probabilistic forecasts of lightning for the CONUS were generated by postprocessing the HRRR with neural networks (NNs). These NN probability forecasts (NNPFs) were produced for HRRR forecasts in 2021–22 using NNs trained with 0000 UT... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Yang, S., Li, D., Duan, Y., Chen, Y., Liu, Z., et al. (2025). Assimilating precipitation data via full‐hydrometeor scheme in WRF 4D‐Var for convective precipitation forecast associated with the Northeast China cold vortex (NCCV). Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042427 The full‐hydrometeor four‐dimensional variational (4D‐Var) assimilation scheme in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, based on the WRF single‐moment 6‐class microphysics scheme (WSM6), is utilized... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Feng, Z., Prein, A., Kukulies, J., Fiolleau, T., Jones, W. K., et al. (2025). Mesoscale Convective Systems Tracking Method Intercomparison (MCSMIP): Application to DYAMOND global km‐scale simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042204 Global kilometer‐scale models represent the future of Earth system modeling, enabling explicit simulation of organized convective storms and their associated extreme weather. Here, we comprehensively evaluate tropical mesoscale convec... MMM Affiliations: MMMVISITORS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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The ensemble consistency test: From CESM to MPAS and beyond Price-Broncucia, T., Baker, A., Hammerling, D., Duda, M. G., Morrison, R.. (2025). The ensemble consistency test: From CESM to MPAS and beyond. Geoscientific Model Development, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2349-2025 The ensemble consistency test (ECT) and its ultrafast variant (UF-ECT) have become powerful tools in the development community for the identification of unwanted changes in the Community Earth System Model (CESM). By characterizing the dist... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Gaps in water quality modeling of hydrologic systems Lucas, L. V., Brown, C. J., Robertson, D., Baker, N. T., Johnson, Z. C., et al. (2025). Gaps in water quality modeling of hydrologic systems. Water, doi:https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081200 This review assesses gaps in water quality modeling, emphasizing opportunities to improve next-generation models that are essential for managing water quality and are integral to meeting goals of scientific and management agencies. In parti... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Dissecting cirrus clouds: Navigating effects of turbulence on homogeneous ice formation Kärcher, B., Hoffmann, F., Sokol, A. B., Gasparini, B., Corcos, M., et al. (2025). Dissecting cirrus clouds: Navigating effects of turbulence on homogeneous ice formation. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01024-w Turbulent air motions determine the local environment in which cloud ice crystals form. Homogeneous freezing of aqueous solution droplets is the most fundamental pathway to nucleate ice crystals in cirrus. Lack of knowledge about the role o... MMM Affiliations: DPM, MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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An investigation of coupled atmospheric and Oceanic Boundary Layers using Large-Eddy Simulation Sullivan, P. P., McWilliams, J. C., Patton, E. G.. (2025). An investigation of coupled atmospheric and Oceanic Boundary Layers using Large-Eddy Simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-24-0149.1 The marine atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and oceanic boundary layer (OBL) are a two-way coupled system. At the ocean surface, the ABL and OBL share surface fluxes of momentum and buoyancy that incorporate variations in sea surface tempe... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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An investigation of coupled atmospheric and oceanic boundary layers using large-eddy simulation Sullivan, P. P., McWilliams, J. C., Patton, E. G.. (2025). An investigation of coupled atmospheric and oceanic boundary layers using large-eddy simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-24-0149.1 The marine atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and oceanic boundary layer (OBL) are a two-way coupled system. At the ocean surface, the ABL and OBL share surface fluxes of momentum and buoyancy that incorporate variations in sea surface tempe... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Celebrating 50 Years since GATE Jenney, A. M., Houze, R. A., LeMone, M. A., Thompson, E. J., Ocasio, K. M. N., et al. (2025). Celebrating 50 Years since GATE. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0063.1 The Global Atmospheric Research Program (GARP) Atlantic Tropical Experiment (GATE) took place from June to September 1974. It remains the largest field campaign in atmospheric science history. Its 50th anniversary was celebrated at the 104t... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Hordyniec, P., Haase, J. S., Murphy, M., Cao, B., Wilson, A. M., et al. (2025). Forward modeling of bending angles with a two‐dimensional operator for GNSS airborne radio occultations in atmospheric rivers. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004324 The Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) airborne radio occultation (ARO) technique is used to retrieve profiles of the atmosphere during reconnaissance missions for atmospheric rivers (ARs) on the west coast of the United States. The ... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Zhou, Y., Sun, W., Liu, Z., Gao, L., Chen, D., et al. (2025). Further development and application of the WRFDA-Chem three-dimensional variational (3DVAR) system: Joint assimilation of satellite AOD retrievals and surface observations. Atmospheric Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107942 The capability to assimilate Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is developed within the WRFDA system in this study using the three-dimensional variational (3DVar) algorithm, based on the Model for Simulating Aerosol Interactions and Chemistry (MOS... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Liu, C., Ikeda, K., Prein, A., Scaff, L., Dominguez, F., et al. (2025). Convection-permitting climate simulations over South America: Experimentation during different phases of ENSO. Atmospheric Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107936 This paper presents the first-ever continental-scale convection-permitting simulations over South America for three water years of different ENSO phases, corresponding to an ENSO neutral year (2018/19), an EI Niño year (2015/16), and a La ... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Wang, A., Schmalfuß, S., Chandrakar, K. K., Kia, H. Z., Yang, F., et al. (2025). An intercomparison of wall fluxes in a turbulent thermal convection chamber: Direct numerical simulations and wall-modeled large-eddy simulations enhanced by machine learning. Physics of Fluids, doi:https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0264004 Thermal convection in a closed chamber is driven by a warm bottom, a cold top, and side walls at various temperatures. Although wall fluxes are the source of convection energy, accurately modeling these fluxes (i.e., the wall model) is chal... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Giove, S., Rotunno, R., Cintolesi, C., Miglietta, M. M.. (2025). Structure and dynamics of axisymmetric tornado-like vortices simulated with a semislip lower boundary. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-24-0096.1 No-slip boundary conditions are often employed in idealized axisymmetric models to study tornadoes. These boundary conditions result in a poor representation of near-ground winds, which are of crucial importance for tornadoes. In this study... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Subtropical jet regulates Arabian winter precipitation: A viable mechanism Taraphdar, S., Gopalakrishnan, D., Liu, C., Pauluis, O. M., Xue, L., et al. (2025). Subtropical jet regulates Arabian winter precipitation: A viable mechanism. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0213.1 The present study explores the mechanism governing wintertime (November–April) precipitation over the Arabian Peninsula (AP) using a 17-yr-long (2002–18) high-resolution WRF simulation. The composite analysis of strong precipita... MMM Affiliations: MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Improving climate bias and variability via CNN‐based state‐dependent model‐error corrections Chapman, W., Berner, J.. (2025). Improving climate bias and variability via CNN‐based state‐dependent model‐error corrections. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114106 We develop an approach to correct biases in the atmospheric component of the Community Earth System Model using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to create a corrective model parameterization for online bias reduction. By predicting syst... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Improving climate bias and variability via CNN‐based state‐dependent model‐error corrections Chapman, W., Berner, J.. (2025). Improving climate bias and variability via CNN‐based state‐dependent model‐error corrections. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114106 We develop an approach to correct biases in the atmospheric component of the Community Earth System Model using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to create a corrective model parameterization for online bias reduction. By predicting syst... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Climate change reduces the wind chill hazard across Alaska Kim, T., Villarini, G., Prein, A., Done, J. M., Johnson, D. R., et al. (2025). Climate change reduces the wind chill hazard across Alaska. Communications Earth & Environment, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02193-5 Low wind chill temperatures can have negative impacts on human health and the capability of performing outdoor activities. An open question is how climate change is projected to impact this hazard in high latitude land regions. Here we focu... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Characteristics of precipitation associated with post-tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic Ali, H., Wong, L. C. Y., Prein, A., Fowler, H. J.. (2025). Characteristics of precipitation associated with post-tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic. Weather and Climate Extremes, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100742 Precipitation brought by cyclone systems has long been known as a major contributor to devastating flood events.Recent post-tropical cyclones (PTCs), which transform from tropical cyclones (TC) to extratropical cyclones (ETC) in the mid-lat... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Milbrandt, J. A., Morrison, H., Cholette, M.. (2025). Impacts of predicted liquid fraction and multiple ice‐phase categories on the simulation of hail in the Predicted Particle Properties (P3) microphysics scheme. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004404 Since its inception in 2015, the Predicted Particle Properties (P3) bulk microphysics scheme has undergone several major developments. Ice is now represented by a user‐specified number of freely‐evolving (non‐prescribed) c... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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An assessment of how domain experts evaluate Machine Learning in operational meteorology Harrison, D., McGovern, A., Karstens, C. D., Bostrom, A., Demuth, J. L., et al. (2025). An assessment of how domain experts evaluate Machine Learning in operational meteorology. Weather and Forecasting, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0144.1 As an increasing number of machine learning (ML) products enter the research-to-operations (R2O) pipeline, researchers have anecdotally noted a perceived hesitancy by operational forecasters to adopt this relatively new technology. One expl... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Shin, U., Park, S., Skamarock, W., Lee, G., Lim, K., et al. (2025). Comparison of numerical characteristics in the Regional Model for Prediction across Scales (MPAS) and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) models using low-level wind analysis during heavy snowfall episodes over complex terrain. Monthly Weather Review, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-24-0053.1 We present a comprehensive evaluation of the regional Model for Prediction Across Scales (rMPAS) in simulating heavy snowfall events during the International Collaborative Experiment for Pyeongchang Olympics and Paralympics field campaign i... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Evaluating an Earth system model from a water manager perspective Tye, M., Ge, M., Richter, J. H., Gutmann, E. D., Stebbins, A. L. R. R., et al. (2025). Evaluating an Earth system model from a water manager perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1117-2025 The large spatial scale of global Earth system models (ESMs) is often cited as an obstacle to using the output by water resource managers in localized decisions. Recent advances in computing have improved the fidelity of hydrological respon... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Precipitation- and temperature-driven future changes to flooding in Alaska Michalek, A., Villarini, G., Prein, A., Done, J. M., Johnson, D. R., et al. (2025). Precipitation- and temperature-driven future changes to flooding in Alaska. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112004 Examining large‐scale projected changes in streamflow and flood extent (e.g., inundation) for Alaska is essential for raising awareness of flood hazards under a changing climate and supporting broad‐scale adaptation planning. Th... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Nicholls, S., Heymsfield, A. J., Heymsfield, G. M., Yorks, J. E., Bansemer, A. R., et al. (2025). Evaluation of physical microphysical property retrieval algorithms during the 2020 IMPACTS field campaign. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-23-0106.1 The NASA Investigation of Microphysics and Precipitation for Atlantic Coast-Threatening Snowstorms (IMPACTS) field campaign provides high-quality, high-altitude aircraft lidar (532 nm), radar (W band), and in-cloud microphysical aircraft d... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Increasing hydroclimatic whiplash can amplify wildfire risk in a warming climate Swain, D. L., Abatzoglou, J. T., Albano, C., Brunner, M., Diffenbaugh, N. S., et al. (2025). Increasing hydroclimatic whiplash can amplify wildfire risk in a warming climate. Global Change Biology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70075 This article discusses the devastating wildfires that occurred in Los Angeles County, Southern California, on January 7-8, 2025. The Palisades and Eaton fires caused significant loss of life, property destruction, and are expected to be the... MMM Affiliations: MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Broadening of cloud droplet spectra through eddy hopping: Why did we all have it wrong? Grabowski, W.. (2025). Broadening of cloud droplet spectra through eddy hopping: Why did we all have it wrong?. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-24-0082.1 In situ aircraft observations in adiabatic and close-to-adiabatic cloudy volumes suggest that cloud droplet spectra are often broader than predicted by growth of a droplet population rising from the cloud base. Cloud turbulence has been sug... MMM Affiliations: MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Duffy, M., Barnes, L., Wirz, C. D., Ranganathan, M., Freilich, M. A., et al. (2025). Factors influencing underrepresented geoscientists' decisions to accept or decline faculty job offers in the US. Communications Earth & Environment, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02052-3 Many geoscience departments in the United States (US) are working to recruit faculty from underrepresented groups. However, there is little information about how hiring practices are perceived by candidates. Here we address this gap by inte... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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The ratio of transverse to longitudinal turbulent velocity statistics for aircraft measurements Nowak, J. L., Lothon, M., Lenschow, D. H., Malinowski, S. P.. (2025). The ratio of transverse to longitudinal turbulent velocity statistics for aircraft measurements. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-18-93-2025 The classical theory of homogeneous isotropic turbulence predicts that the ratio of transverse to longitudinal structure functions or power spectra is equal to 4/3 in the inertial subrange. For the typical turbulence cascade in the inertial... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Ajibade, I., Walter, M., Sauer, J., Raghunathasami, A., Done, J. M., et al. (2025). Disaster vulnerability hotspots in the Portland metro-region: Converging indices for equitable resilience. Climate Risk Management, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2025.100714 As climate-related extreme events intensify across the globe, governments, practitioners, and communities have focused on reducing vulnerability and building resilience. However, debates persist about the validity, differences, and similari... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Martinez, C. J., Simpson, I. R., Fasullo, J. T., Prein, A.. (2025). An evaluation of the seasonal Caribbean hydroclimate in low and high-resolution CESM and other CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07516-4 The Caribbean and Central American hydroclimate is understudied and complex in part due to its data sparsity, varied topographies, and multi-faceted interactions with the tropics and mid-latitudes. Recent work developed a refined and compre... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Spatial patterns of turbulence near thunderstorms Hitchcock, S. M., Lane, T. P., Deierling, W., Sharman, R. D., Trier, S. B., et al. (2025). Spatial patterns of turbulence near thunderstorms. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0142.1 Many people have a turbulence story: perhaps a specific memorable experience or just an unpleasant flight where the seatbelt sign remained on for hours. While more rare, severe turbulence encounters can result in serious (even fatal) injuri... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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20 Years of MCSs simulations over South America using a convection-permitting model Rehbein, A., Prein, A., Ambrizzi, T., Ikeda, K., Liu, C., et al. (2025). 20 Years of MCSs simulations over South America using a convection-permitting model. Climate Dynamics, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07529-z Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are complex meteorological phenomena that significantly influence precipitation and weather patterns globally. While extensive research on MCSs has been conducted in various parts of the world, South Amer... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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An improved convection parameterization with detailed aerosol-cloud microphysics for a global model Jadav, A., Waman, D., Pant, C. S., Patade, S., Gautam, M., et al. (2025). An improved convection parameterization with detailed aerosol-cloud microphysics for a global model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0175.1 A new microphysical treatment that includes aerosol–cloud interactions and secondary ice production (SIP) mechanisms is implemented in the convection scheme of the Community Atmosphere Model, version 6 (CAM6). The approach is to embed... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Collecting longitudinal, perishable social science observations during hurricanes Demuth, J. L., Schumacher, A., Morss, R. E., Wong-Parodi, G., Herbert, N., et al. (2025). Collecting longitudinal, perishable social science observations during hurricanes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0291.1 A hurricane is highly dynamic, evolving over minutes, hours, and days. It can change in intensity, track, and translational speed, all of which can change the hazards from wind, tornado, storm surge, and inland flooding. A sophisticated met... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Hydroclimate volatility on a warming Earth Swain, D. L., Prein, A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Albano, C., Brunner, M., et al. (2025). Hydroclimate volatility on a warming Earth. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00624-z Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric... MMM Affiliations: MMMDEPT Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Identifying canopy snow in subalpine forests: A comparative study of methods Harvey, N., Burns, S., Musselman, K., Barnard, H., Blanken, P. D.. (2025). Identifying canopy snow in subalpine forests: A comparative study of methods. Water Resources Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036996 The interception of snow by the canopy is an important process in the water and energy balance in cold‐region coniferous forests. Direct measurements of canopy snow interception are difficult at scales larger than individual trees, re... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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How does riming influence the observed spatial variability of ice water in mixed-phase clouds? Maherndl, N., Moser, M., Schirmacher, I., Bansemer, A. R., Lucke, J., et al. (2024). How does riming influence the observed spatial variability of ice water in mixed-phase clouds?. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-13935-2024 Observations show that the ice water content (IWC) in mixed-phase clouds (MPCs) tends to occur in clusters. However, it is not sufficiently understood which ice crystal formation and growth processes play a dominant role in IWC clustering i... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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An evaluation of dynamical downscaling methods used to project regional climate change Hall, A., Rahimi, S., Norris, J., Ban, N., Siler, N., et al. (2024). An evaluation of dynamical downscaling methods used to project regional climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040591 In the past decade, dynamical downscaling using “pseudo‐global‐warming” (PGW) techniques has been applied frequently to project regional climate change. Such techniques generate signals by adding mean global climate ... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Simulating precipitation efficiency across the deep convective gray zone Kukulies, J., Prein, A., Morrison, H.. (2024). Simulating precipitation efficiency across the deep convective gray zone. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041924 Precipitation efficiency (PE) relates cloud condensation to precipitation and thus reflects how much of the total atmospheric condensate reaches the surface as precipitation. Because the PE in convective storms is directly linked to their u... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Zilli, M. T., Lemes, M. R., Hart, N. C. G., Halladay, K., Kahana, R., et al. (2024). The added value of using convective-permitting regional climate model simulations to represent cloud band events over South America. Climate Dynamics, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07460-3 Climate science has long explored whether higher resolution regional climate models (RCMs) provide improved simulation of regional climates over global climate models (GCMs). The advent of convective-permitting RCMs (CPRCMs), where sufficie... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Earth System Predictability Across Timescales Community Workshop Report Richter, J. H., Colegrove, D., Aponte, K. L., Bell, C., Davis, C. A., et al. (2024). Earth System Predictability Across Timescales Community Workshop Report. , doi:https://doi.org/10.5065/f4hy-2b23 As climate change increases the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, communities are facing growing vulnerability. Addressing this urgent challenge requires deepening our understanding of Earth system processes, uncertainties, ... MMM Affiliations: PARC, MMMAO Publication Genre: Technical Report View on OpenSky |
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Fragmentation in collisions of snow with graupel/hail: New formulation from field observations Gautam, M., Waman, D., Patade, S., Deshmukh, A., Phillips, V., et al. (2024). Fragmentation in collisions of snow with graupel/hail: New formulation from field observations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0122.1 Secondary ice production (SIP) has been attributed to the generation of most ice particles observed in precipitating clouds with cloud tops warmer than −36°C, from various aircraft- and ground-based field observations across the ... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Tewari, M., Zhou, X., Ray, P., Treinish, L., Dudhia, J., et al. (2024). Model sensitivity in predicting extreme precipitation events in urban areas: A case study over Beijing. Atmospheric Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107719 Understanding and forecasting the spatial and temporal distributions of extreme precipitation over urban areas is crucial for effective planning and mitigation efforts. However, this task remains challenging as accurate forecasting depends ... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Adaptively implicit advection for atmospheric flows Weller, H., Kühnlein, C., Smolarkiewicz, P.. (2024). Adaptively implicit advection for atmospheric flows. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004503 Implicit time‐stepping for advection is applied locally in space and time where Courant numbers are large, but standard explicit time‐stepping is used for the remaining solution which is typically the majority. This adaptively i... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Chanthu (2021) induced by topographic effects of Taiwan Chi, Y., Huang, C., Skamarock, W.. (2024). Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Chanthu (2021) induced by topographic effects of Taiwan. Geoscience Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-024-00369-z Typhoon Chanthu (2021) underwent a unique rapid intensification (RI) when it moved northward offshore east of Taiwan under a northerly vertical wind shear. The recirculating flow of Chanthu’s outer circulation around south Taiwan led to t... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Quantifying and visualizing severe thunderstorm motion uncertainty for improved decision support Ash, K. D., Williams, C. L., Feemster, C. M., Bunkers, M., Demuth, J. L., et al. (2024). Quantifying and visualizing severe thunderstorm motion uncertainty for improved decision support. Weather and Forecasting, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0041.1 Forecasts and observations of thunderstorm motion are key components of severe thunderstorm communication and decision support for preparedness and protective behaviors, as all National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) co... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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A multi‐probe automated classification of ice crystal habits during the IMPACTS campaign Schima, J., McFarquhar, G., Delene, D., Heymsfield, A. J., Bansemer, A. R., et al. (2024). A multi‐probe automated classification of ice crystal habits during the IMPACTS campaign. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040895 Although all ice crystals are unique, many can be grouped together by shape or habit, with members of a habit class sharing similar representations of properties such as fall velocity and growth rate. A decision tree algorithm designed to b... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Can we predict the predictability of high-impact weather events? Coleman, A., Ancell, B., Schwartz, C. S.. (2024). Can we predict the predictability of high-impact weather events?. Monthly Weather Review, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0293.1 Ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA) offers a computationally inexpensive way to diagnose sources of high-impact forecast feature uncertainty by relating a localized forecast phenomenon of interest (response function) back to early or initia... MMM Affiliations: MMMAO, PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Impact of assimilating uncrewed aircraft system observations on river valley fog prediction Pinto, J., Bailey, S. C. C., Fossell, K. R., Binau, S., Xu, M., et al. (2024). Impact of assimilating uncrewed aircraft system observations on river valley fog prediction. Weather and Forecasting, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0087.1 The impact of assimilating targeted uncrewed aircraft system (UAS) observations on the prediction of radiation and river valley fog is assessed using observing system experiments (OSEs). Two multirotor UASs were deployed during Frequent in ... MMM Affiliations: MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Mironov, D., Sullivan, P. P.. (2024). Turbulence structure and mixing in strongly stable Couette flows over thermally heterogeneous surfaces: Effect of heterogeneity orientation. Flow, Turbulence and Combustion, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10494-024-00593-9 Direct numerical simulations (DNS) of plane Couette flows over thermally heterogeneous surfaces at bulk Reynolds number $$Re=10^4$$Re=104 and bulk Richardson number $$Ri=0.25$$Ri=0.25 are performed. The focus of the present study (that exte... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Wirz, C. D., Demuth, J. L., Cains, M., White, M., Radford, J., et al. (2024). National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters’ perceptions of AI/ML and its use in operational forecasting. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0044.1 Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) have attracted a great deal of attention from the atmospheric science community. The explosion of attention on AI/ML development carries implications for the operational community, prompt... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Recent developments in tornado theory and observations Rotunno, R., Bluestein, H. B.. (2024). Recent developments in tornado theory and observations. Reports on Progress in Physics, doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6633/ad7f6a This article critically reviews research on tornado theory and observations over the last decade. From the theoretical standpoint, the major advances have come through improved numerical-simulation models of supercell convective storms, whi... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Zhou, X., Ray, P., Dudhia, J., Tewari, M., Nikolopoulos, E., et al. (2024). On the importance of precipitation‐induced surface sensible heat flux for diurnal cycle of precipitation in the Maritime Continent. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111940 The Maritime Continent (MC) exhibits a pronounced diurnal cycle in precipitation, with many high‐resolution models overestimating the diurnal peak and predicting earlier precipitation over the islands than observed. We hypothesize tha... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Examining tropical convection features at storm‐resolving scales over the Maritime Continent region Huang, X., Gettelman, A., Medeiros, B., Skamarock, W.. (2024). Examining tropical convection features at storm‐resolving scales over the Maritime Continent region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040976 The mean state and convective features, centered over the Maritime Continent, are examined at coarse and convection‐permitting scalesCoarse and refined meshes have different precipitation statistics and probability distributionsPrecip... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Sobash, R. A., Ahijevych, D.. (2024). Evaluating machine learning-based probabilistic convective hazard forecasts using the HRRR: Quantifying hazard predictability and sensitivity to training choices. Weather and Forecasting, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0221.1 The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model provides hourly updating forecasts of convective-scale phenomena, which can be used to infer the potential for convective hazards (e.g., tornadoes, hail, and wind gusts), across the United Stat... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Simeone, C., Foks, S., Towler, E. L., Hodson, T., Over, T.. (2024). Evaluating hydrologic model performance for characterizing streamflow drought in the conterminous United States. Water, doi:https://doi.org/10.3390/w16202996 Hydrologic models are the primary tools that are used to simulate streamflow drought and assess impacts. However, there is little consensus about how to evaluate the performance of these models, especially as hydrologic modeling moves towar... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Modulation of tropical cyclogenesis by convectively coupled Kelvin waves Rios-Berrios, R., Tang, B. H., Davis, C. A., Martinez, J.. (2024). Modulation of tropical cyclogenesis by convectively coupled Kelvin waves. Monthly Weather Review, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-24-0052.1 Tropical cyclone numbers can vary from week to week within a hurricane season. Recent studies suggest that convectively coupled Kelvin waves can be partly responsible for such variability. However, the precise physical mechanisms responsibl... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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DeLaFrance, A., McMurdie, L. A., Rowe, A. K., Heymsfield, A. J.. (2024). Simulated particle evolution within a winter storm: Contributions of riming to radar moments and precipitation fallout. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-11191-2024 Remote sensing radars from airborne and spaceborne platforms provide critical observations of clouds to estimate precipitation rates across the globe. The ability of these radars to detect changes in precipitation properties is advanced by ... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Feng, J., Judt, F., Zhang, J., Wang, X.. (2024). Influence of region-dependent error growth on the predictability of track and intensity of Typhoon Chan-hom (2020) in high-resolution HWRF ensembles. Atmospheric Research, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107536 Enhancing the predictive capabilities for tropical cyclones (TCs) necessitates comprehensive investigations into their predictability. This study employs convection-allowing ensemble forecasts using the Hurricane Weather Research and Foreca... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Dependence of dense filament frontogenesis in a hydrostatic model Fan, Y., Yu, Z., Sullivan, P. P., Rydbeck, A.. (2024). Dependence of dense filament frontogenesis in a hydrostatic model. Ocean Modelling, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102429 In this study, a hydrostatic model - the Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM) is used to analyze the temporal evolution of a cold filament under moderate wind (along / cross filament) and surface cooling forcing conditions. The experimental fram... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Webb, R., Knowles, J., Fox, A., Fabricus, A., Corrie, T., et al. (2024). Energy‐water asynchrony principally determines water available for runoff from snowmelt in continental montane forests. Hydrological Processes, doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15297 Changes in the volume, rate, and timing of the snowmelt water pulse have profound implications for seasonal soil moisture, evapotranspiration (ET), groundwater recharge, and downstream water availability, especially in the context of climat... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Javadian, M., Aubrecht, D. M., Fisher, J. B., Scott, R. L., Burns, S., et al. (2024). Scaling individual tree transpiration with thermal cameras reveals interspecies differences to drought vulnerability. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111479 Understanding tree transpiration variability is vital for assessing ecosystem water-use efficiency and forest health amid climate change, yet most landscape-level measurements do not differentiate individual trees. Using canopy temperature ... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Synoptic influences on the diurnal cycle of rainfall over western Puerto Rico Sakaeda, N., Martinez-Lopez, K., Wu, S., Martin, E., Rios-Berrios, R., et al. (2024). Synoptic influences on the diurnal cycle of rainfall over western Puerto Rico. Monthly Weather Review, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-24-0035.1 The objective of this study is to understand rainfall processes over tropical islands by identifying synoptic conditions that influence the diurnal cycle of rainfall over western Puerto Rico. Summer rainfall over Puerto Rico is dominated by... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Kukulies, J., Prein, A., Morrison, H.. (2024). Can we use km-scale climate model simulations to estimate the precipitation efficiency of convective storms?. MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Conference Material View on OpenSky |
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Bromwich, D. H., Gorodetskaya, I. V., Carpentier, S., Alexander, S., Bazile, E., et al. (2024). Winter targeted observing periods during the Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0249.1 The Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH) held seven targeted observing periods (TOPs) during the 2022 austral winter to enhance atmospheric predictability over the Southern Ocean and Antarctica. The TOPs of 5–... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Tachera, D., Maldonado, J.. (2024). Declaration on Relationships and the Wise Use and Applications of Technologies for Climate Actions for Everyone. Participants of the 11th annual Rising Voices workshop, held in Spring 2023, on the theme of Understanding the Relationships: People, Place, Technology, the Environment, and Climate Change, have prepared this Declaration to guide the use an... Publication Genre: Manuscript View on OpenSky |
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Huang, Y., Xue, M., HU, X., Martin, E., Novoa, H. M., et al. (2024). Characteristics of precipitation and mesoscale convective systems over the Peruvian Central Andes in multi 5‐year convection‐permitting simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040394 Using the Weather Research and Forecasting model with two planetary boundary layer schemes, ACM2 and MYNN, convection‐permitting model (CPM) regional climate simulations were conducted for a 6‐year period, including a one‐... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Modeling and observations of North Atlantic cyclones: Implications for U.S. Offshore wind energy Wang, J., Hendricks, E. A., Rozoff, C. M., Churchfield, M., Zhu, L., et al. (2024). Modeling and observations of North Atlantic cyclones: Implications for U.S. Offshore wind energy. Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy, doi:https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0214806 To meet the Biden-Harris administration's goal of deploying 30 GW of offshore wind power by 2030 and 110 GW by 2050, expansion of wind energy into U.S. territorial waters prone to tropical cyclones (TCs) and extratropical cyclones (ET... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Effects of turbulence on upper-tropospheric ice supersaturation Kärcher, B., Hoffmann, F., Podglajen, A., Hertzog, A., Pluogonven, R., et al. (2024). Effects of turbulence on upper-tropospheric ice supersaturation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0217.1 Effects of turbulence on ice supersaturation at cirrus heights (>8 km) remain unexplored. Small-scale mixing processes become important for high Reynolds number flows, which may develop below the buoyancy length scale (10–100 m). T... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Dai, Y., Hooft, A. v., Patton, E. G., Boekee, J., Linden, S. v. d., et al. (2024). Integrated large-eddy simulation for modeling plant-tissue warming induced by wind machines in an orchard canopy. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110175 Wind machines are increasingly used to mitigate spring frost damage in agricultural sectors. Complementing quasi-3D temperature measurements to quantify the warming effects of wind machines (Dai et al., 2023), this study develops a numerica... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Chi, Y., Huang, C., Skamarock, W.. (2024). Track deflection of Typhoon Chanthu (2021) near Taiwan as investigated using a high-resolution global model. Monthly Weather Review, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0237.1 The Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) with variable resolution (60–15–1 km) is used to investigate the track deflection of Typhoon Chanthu (2021) near Taiwan. Chanthu exhibited a rightward track deflection as it approach... MMM Affiliations: WMR Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Kilometer-scale multi-physics simulations of heavy precipitation events in Northeast China Yu, H., Prein, A., Qi, D., Wang, K.. (2024). Kilometer-scale multi-physics simulations of heavy precipitation events in Northeast China. Climate Dynamics, doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07386-w Despite the fatal impact of heavy precipitation on people's lives and the social economy, its accurate estimating remains challenging. In this study, we show how to address this issue by kilometer-scale simulations and how to reduce computa... Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Schlutow, M., Stacke, T., Doerffel, T., Smolarkiewicz, P., Göckede, M.. (2024). Large eddy simulations of the interaction between the atmospheric boundary layer and degrading Arctic permafrost. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040794 Arctic permafrost thaw holds the potential to drastically alter the Earth's surface in Northern high latitudes. We utilize high‐resolution large eddy simulations to investigate the impact of the changing surfaces onto the neutrally st... MMM Affiliations: DPM Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Comparing distributions of overshooting convection in HRRR forecasts to observations Bissell, D. P., Murillo, E. M., Mullendore, G.. (2024). Comparing distributions of overshooting convection in HRRR forecasts to observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039973 Overshooting convection can significantly impact the chemical and radiative properties of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere through the transport of various chemical species. These impacts include enhancements of water vapor and ... MMM Affiliations: WMR, MMMAO Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Impact of soil moisture updates on temperature forecasting Ha, S., Sun, J.. (2024). Impact of soil moisture updates on temperature forecasting. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110283 The impact of land variables on temperature forecasts in atmospheric cycling is often underestimated or overlooked. This oversight primarily occurs due to the abundance of meteorological measurements available for assimilation and partly be... MMM Affiliations: PARC Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |
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Ocasio, K. M. N., Moon, Z.. (2024). TAMS: A tracking, classifying, and variable-assigning algorithm for mesoscale convective systems in simulated and satellite-derived datasets. Geoscientific Model Development, doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6035-2024 The Tracking Algorithm for Mesoscale Convective Systems (TAMS) is a tracking, classifying, and variable-assigning algorithm for mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). TAMS was initially developed to analyze MCSs over Africa and their relation... MMM Affiliations: MMMVISITORS Publication Genre: Article View on OpenSky |