Advancing weather and climate science in Mesoamerica and the Caribbean: a novel regional multiweek convection-permitting simulation
Ocasio, K. M. N., Dougherty, E. M., Xue, L., Moon, Z. L., Nunez, A., et al. (2026). Advancing weather and climate science in Mesoamerica and the Caribbean: a novel regional multiweek convection-permitting simulation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-25-0023.1
| Title | Advancing weather and climate science in Mesoamerica and the Caribbean: a novel regional multiweek convection-permitting simulation |
|---|---|
| Genre | Article |
| Author(s) | Kelly M. Núñez Ocasio, Erin M. Dougherty, Lulin Xue, Z. L. Moon, A. Nunez, Monica Morrison, Kwesi T. Quagraine, Y. Mu, C. Martinez, V. Narinesingh, T. Cavazos, G. Rios, Julio Bacmeister, J. Amador, D. A. Herrera, Cenlin He, E. D. Maloney, Kristen Rasmussen, K. A. Reed, Richard Neale, C. Domínguez, A. Jaramillo, K. P. Chun, L. Clarke, S. Nunez-Mejia, Yang Tian, Rosimar Rios-Berrios, K. Hernandez, L. Fuenzalida, A. Rosales, Patrick Callaghan, X. Chen, Talia G. Anderson |
| Abstract | Understanding the weather and climate of Mesoamerica and the Caribbean remains challenging due to complex hydroclimate interactions, limited observations, and poor representation of regional processes in global models. We introduce the Mesoamerica Affinity Group (MAAG), a National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and community initiative that fosters research collaboration to advance weather and climate science, develop convection-permitting datasets, and promote knowledge exchange. MAAG's first major contribution is a 2-week convection-permitting simulation of Hurricane Maria (2017) using Model for Prediction Across Scales–Atmosphere (MPAS-A), featuring a novel regional 15-to 3-km variable-resolution mesh over the region. Initial evaluation shows that MPAS-A captures key features like precipitation patterns, the intertropical convergence zone, and low-level jets. Some biases remain, particularly in enhanced land convection and slight deviations in Maria's track. This novel dataset, now publicly available through NCAR's Data Archive, supports studies of other extreme events and mesoscale convective systems active during the same period. It offers a valuable resource for the research community. MAAG is a new but rapidly growing initiative achieving notable milestones in a short time. It serves as a collaborative platform for codesigning high-resolution modeling experiments aimed at producing actionable weather and climate information. We invite the community to join MAAG, explore this initial dataset, and advance regional weather and climate research. |
| Publication Title | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |
| Publication Date | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Publisher's Version of Record | https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-25-0023.1 |
| OpenSky Citable URL | https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7ms3zbv |
| OpenSky Listing | View on OpenSky |
| MMM Affiliations | DPM |